Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2065.935706 2250.519658 2438.774460 2644.848914 2863.792953 3089.179081 3338.442593
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1757.870505 2027.955545 2314.990808 2641.628251 3001.879965 3385.942823 3825.196308
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1542.644018 1858.986260 2205.739857 2611.740810 3071.713837 3574.328667 4162.667139
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1412.262306 1765.045532 2161.766177 2637.162406 3187.455961 3800.561773 4531.301406
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1291.716040 1669.204426 2103.687086 2635.242493 3262.323411 3972.911759 4833.107383
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1218.541630 1621.607963 2095.039729 2684.688970 3391.627373 4204.214228 5200.724386
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1120.471801 1535.971656 2034.025536 2665.404133 3434.427214 4330.676564 5443.565714
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1073.123676 1509.009704 2040.634514 2724.693905 3568.947128 4564.189987 5812.712186
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1011.194281 1459.080167 2014.951064 2740.909106 3648.614611 4730.707251 6101.756999
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 949.337213 1405.149588 1980.616638 2743.078740 3708.444518 4871.643965 6359.433701
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 856.458751 1304.826505 1881.907850 2658.893429 3656.351798 4872.381343 6443.800686
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 840.321823 1306.488492 1914.604766 2742.524809 3815.503946 5134.081184 6849.909738
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 809.280567 1286.847774 1919.143141 2790.503024 3931.473222 5345.729178 7199.857570
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 760.836175 1240.373668 1885.741161 2786.997121 3980.367415 5473.358503 7446.437323
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 706.383575 1182.210341 1833.613721 2755.877037 3991.143531 5551.234236 7629.786304
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 675.976747 1157.038487 1825.254813 2782.348570 4076.633308 5724.178936 7934.047185
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 638.352769 1119.088814 1797.202934 2780.349450 4123.225890 5846.614931 8174.273746
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 620.361495 1109.516635 1808.386059 2831.831325 4241.251754 6062.095627 8535.236422
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 581.629853 1066.170373 1769.365527 2811.753773 4261.517514 6149.468586 8731.027585
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 569.628771 1063.558960 1788.766286 2873.476181 4393.068270 6383.489056 9118.466100
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 545.514093 1040.527980 1777.157354 2890.354380 4462.794074 6536.077408 9400.673542
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 518.837027 1011.964085 1756.092088 2892.612651 4511.638454 6660.753572 9646.799002
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 470.237690 944.960360 1674.719049 2804.975121 4432.992657 6613.030617 9664.080696